There is a 1 in 9.2 quintillion chance at predicting a perfect March Madness bracket. (In case you were wondering that is 18 zeros.)
The odds are overwhelmingly stacked against our favor.
Yet, every year, millions of people decide to play, relying on expert analysis or gut feelings. We fool ourselves into thinking that if we study hard enough, we can somehow steer chance our way.
It turns out that even the smartest basketball guru can only reduce his odds to 1 in 128 billion. Significantly better but not enough to make an impact.
Some games are simply not worth playing.
Don’t leave important things to chance, chance seems to hate us–at least that is what we tell ourselves.