20% chance of rain

A recent forecast in Salt Lake said there was a 20% chance of rain in the afternoon. That afternoon a wall of rain came and went. Of course, many said, “What gives?”

Were the forecasters wrong or did we not interpret the data correctly?

The data wasn’t wrong, perhaps the meteorologist’s interpretation was off. But 20% doesn’t mean zero either.

We can’t get mad when someone is wrong in how they interpret something especially when we have turned over the decision-making for someone to decide.

You can always look it up and decide for yourself. The alternative is to live in a world where the experts best guess is sometimes wrong too.